Even if "Hamilton" lacked the music, lyrics and script by Lin-Manuel Miranda or the compelling story and extraordinarily talented multi-ethnic cast, it still has many of the hallmarks of a Tony Award winner for best musical.
It's a period piece with a one-word title that features a man and is directed by a male. Such characteristics are very common among the Broadway musicals that have captured the coveted best musical prize over the last 20 years, according to research by Davenport Theatrical Enterprises. For example, 55 percent of winners take place in a previous era, while 85 percent of the productions were directed by a man
Still, not all "Hamilton"attributes scream winner: Only 15 percent of the shows crowned best musical the past 20 years were based on actual events.
Puppets, by the way, can also boost a musical's chance of reigning supreme. Yet even without them, "Hamilton" is widely expected to win many of the record 16 Tonys for which it was nominated, including best musical.
The 70th annual Tony Awards air on CBS this Sunday at 8 p.m. ET/7 p.m. CT.